Martes, Abril 7, 2015

Precipitous plunge

If we’re to go by the results of the latest Social Weather Stations (SWS) survey, public satisfaction with the administration of President Benigno Aquino III has reached its lowest point thus far. 

The survey, conducted from March 20 to 23 this year with 1,200 respondents, revealed that Aquino obtained a net satisfaction rating of a “moderate” +11 (those satisfied minus unsatisfied), from “good” +39 from December 2014.

Public satisfaction with the Aquino administration dropped 35 points from +47 rating it obtained from the same period last year.

The survey also showed that Aquino’s satisfaction rating plunged in all geographic areas and all socioeconomic classes.

This precipitous plunge in PNoy’s public satisfaction ratings bodes ill for the rest of his term which ends in June next year.

With many Filipinos now doubting his ability to steer the nation’s affairs with competence, PNoy will plod through the  next 15 months as a lameduck, unable to command the respect of his subordinates in government.

It is true that this would adversely affect whoever the ruling political party would field in the May 2016 elections.

Conversely, the standard bearer of the political opposition could seize PNoy’s  falling ratings  to gain political ground and  muster support from a broader section of the population.

Apart from that, PNoy’s paltry ratings at this point would definitely affect his ability to embark on new reform programs.

While the administration  trumpets its achievements in the economic sphere, such as the better-than-expected 7 percent GDP growth  which makes the country the second best performing economy in Asia after China, the reality is that the benefits of such growth has not trickled down to the masses. Poverty levels have not gone down as borne out by official statistics.

That’s not all. The much-vaunted public-private partnership (PPP) program has not made much headway beyond the award of a handful of projects to winning bidders. Thus, not one PPP project will have been finished by June 30, 2016. Our backward infrastructure is one of the main reasons why foreign investors hesitate to put their money  here.

And speaking of foreign investments, we’re laggards in attracting foreign capital compared to our neighbors in Southeast Asia.

While the Aquino administration should be commended for pursuing the peace process with the Moro Islamic Liberation Front (MILF), the recent Mamasapano fiasco is likely to set back efforts to pass the Bangsamoro Basic Law now pending in Congress.

The BBL will give flesh to the comprehensive peace agreement between the government and the MILF signed in October last year. But if it is delayed or shelved by the legislature, the peace process would be in limbo. 

Analysts are one in saying that the Mamasapano incident is the immediate cause of PNoy’s falling ratings. That may well be true. But we would like to think that the dissatisfaction with PNoy stems from a confluence of factors. Among these would be the half-hearted or rather selective implementation of the anti-corruption campaign, with  only those from the opposition now in jail for the pork barrel scam. Another would be the unstable peace and order situation, with news reports of criminality and lawlessness  making headlines on a daily basis.

If we extend the analysis further, what the plunge in PNoy’s ratings means is that his mantra of pursuing the “daang matuwid” or straight path  now sounds hollow.

What is also becoming clearer is that Aquino listens only to his own voice, not the voice of his supposed “bosses”—the people. This is evident in his stubborn refusal to  take ultimate responsibility as commander-in-chief and apologize to the nation over the Mamasapano tragedy. 

PNoy’s ratings plunge is likely to trigger renewed calls for his resignation. But we doubt if those calling for his resignation can harness enough public support for their cause. For one thing, the 2016 election is just around the corner. Even Vice President Jejomar Binay, who has publicly announced his intention to run for President next year, does not support the call for PNoy’s resignation.

What President Aquino needs to do now is to review his priorities and strive to regain lost ground through policies and programs that will uphold good governance and sustain economic growth. Otherwise, he runs the risk of further alienation from the Filipino people that gave him an overwhelming mandate in the 2010 polls. -end-